No Priors
Reflection AI's Misha Laskin says open models flipped to 70% of gateway tokens
Misha Laskin says token share on gateways like OpenRouter and Vercel flipped in about six months, from roughly 70/30 closed-to-open to 70/30 open-to-closed, and he expects open models to end up where Linux is on servers, with valuable closed companies still alongside. Reflection's first open model, Beam (500B total parameters, 23B active), pretrained on about 6,000 GB300s and then spent more compute on reinforcement learning: a little over 10,000 GB300s for four weeks. He says this helps make Beam 3 to 4x more reasoning-efficient than models in its capability class. He compares buying API tokens to renting the whole stack, predicts that enterprises spending $100M+ a year on closed models will move to owning it by first customizing the harness around an open model, and puts the geopolitics bluntly: "open models are Trojan horses for the infrastructure that they bring with them."
- #open-source
- #models
- #enterprise
